Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -8.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | NBSB | TNT

The Boston Celtics visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 30-27 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 29-29 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-8.5 -105O 215.5 -110-350
Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 -115U 215.5 -110+275

Cavaliers vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 44 of their last 63 games (+23.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 29 away games (+19.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 64 games (+13.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 52 games (+17.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+15.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 30-27 (+0.35 Units / 0.53% ROI).

  • 48-12 against the Moneyline (+13.1 Units / 4.4% ROI)
  • 29-31 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -7.73% ROI)
  • 31-29 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-29 (-2.8 Units / -4.25% ROI).

  • 39-21 against the Moneyline (+9.7 Units / 6.94% ROI)
  • 26-33 against the Over for game total points (-10.3 Units / -15.59% ROI)
  • 33-26 against the Under for game total points (+4.45 Units / 6.75% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 35 games (-20.90 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 26 games (-18.20 Units / -63% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-20.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 93 games (-16.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 83 games (-13.20 Units / -9% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Celtics are 31-6 (.838) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Celtics are 14-1 (.933) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 11-3 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Cavaliers are 22-7 (.759) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Cavaliers were 14-11 (.560) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. CelticsTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 5

  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,120 points/53 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (466 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (1,094 turnovers/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Cavaliers shot 49% (3,408/6,984) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,064 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (351 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers have allowed an eFG% of 51% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (398 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.