Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -7.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Boston Celtics visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 46-38 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 42-46 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-7.5 -110O 211.5 -110-300
Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 -110U 211.5 -110+240

Cavaliers vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 71.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 63 of their last 92 games (+30.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 44 away games (+29.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 82 games (+25.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 70 games (+23.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 53 of their last 88 games (+19.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+16.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 46-38 (+4.2 Units / 4.29% ROI).

  • 69-20 against the Moneyline (-6.05 Units / -1.25% ROI)
  • 46-42 against the Over for game total points (-0.15 Units / -0.15% ROI)
  • 42-46 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -8.78% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 42-46 (-8.6 Units / -8.59% ROI).

  • 53-38 against the Moneyline (+1.55 Units / 0.71% ROI)
  • 44-46 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -6.59% ROI)
  • 46-44 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -2.4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-28.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 57 games (-19.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-18.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 84 games (-36.90 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (-24.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-21.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 24 games (-19.45 Units / -47% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

Keys to the game – away

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Cavaliers were 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Cavaliers were 17-10 (.630) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers were 14-11 (.560) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Cavaliers are 41-23 (.641) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. CelticsSaturday‘s Game, May 11

  • Craig Porter Jr. (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers): Neck, Game Time Decision
  • Dean Wade (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Darius Garland (Cleveland Cavaliers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Celtics have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Celtics have made 1,351 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have 20.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Cavaliers averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Cavaliers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,045 assists/ 1,094 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers averaged 3.6 second chance points per game (228 points/63 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,221 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers allowed 105.0 points per game (4,304 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.4

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1


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