Celtics vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

  • The Celtics are -16.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Hawks Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 38-31 against the spread, while the Hawks are 26-46 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-16.5 -110O 226.5 -110-1400
Atlanta Hawks +16.5 -110U 226.5 -110+800

Hawks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 97.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Hawks.

Hawks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 75 games (+32.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 38 away games (+25.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 65 games (+23.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 75 games (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 43 of their last 71 games (+14.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+15.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+12.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 38-31 (+3.9 Units / 4.92% ROI).

  • 57-15 against the Moneyline (+13.45 Units / 3.73% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.45 Units / -3.1% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 26-46 (-24.6 Units / -31.06% ROI).

  • 33-39 against the Moneyline (-11.85 Units / -9.91% ROI)
  • 38-32 against the Over for game total points (+2.85 Units / 3.65% ROI)
  • 32-38 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -12.54% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 66 games (-29.65 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 86 games (-29.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 40 games (-21.95 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 95 games (-34.25 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-19.95 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

Keys to the game – away

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CelticsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 28

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have made 15.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,328 rebounds/72 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Hawks have averaged 5.7 fast break points per game (411 points/72 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,850 free throw attempts/7,574 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Defense Stories

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.