Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Mavericks Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 21-20 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 23-19 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-2.5 -110O 239.5 -105-145
Dallas Mavericks +2.5 -110U 239.5 -115+120

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Celtics and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 92 games (+27.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 71 of their last 92 games (+26.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+15.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+13.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 92 games (+13.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+12.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 21-20 (-0.95 Units / -2.01% ROI).

  • 33-10 against the Moneyline (+13.6 Units / 7.43% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-19 (+2.15 Units / 4.66% ROI).

  • 24-18 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -1.01% ROI)
  • 23-18 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 6.91% ROI)
  • 18-23 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -15.62% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (-34.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-23.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (-21.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-19.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 98 games (-26.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 66 games (-22.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 96 games (-18.75 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 95 games (-17.10 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics are 27-6 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Celtics are winless (0-3) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Celtics are 29-5 (.853) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Mavericks are 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Mavericks were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Mavericks are 4-9 (.308) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .741

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 22

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics made 16.0 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have a TS% of 56% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have averaged 43.9 points in the paint per game (5,440 points/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,664 rebounds/43 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,776 rebounds/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.5 steals per game (280 steals/43 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,430 rebounds/42 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (285 steals/42 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.