Celtics vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 27, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | ESPN2

The Boston Celtics visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Pacers Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 48-42 against the spread, while the Pacers are 53-43 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-7.5 -110O 222.5 -110-275
Indiana Pacers +7.5 -110U 222.5 -110+230

Pacers vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 68.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Pacers.

Pacers vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.6% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 47 away games (+29.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 88 games (+26.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 63 of their last 95 games (+26.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 76 games (+20.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 56 of their last 94 games (+18.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 95 games (+19.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 72 games (+18.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 99 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 48-42 (+1.8 Units / 1.72% ROI).

  • 75-20 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.01% ROI)
  • 51-43 against the Over for game total points (+3.75 Units / 3.59% ROI)
  • 43-51 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -12.53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 53-43 (+5.7 Units / 5.23% ROI).

  • 55-44 against the Moneyline (-1.65 Units / -0.82% ROI)
  • 52-45 against the Over for game total points (+2.45 Units / 2.27% ROI)
  • 45-52 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -11.32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 99 games (-32.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 95 games (-29.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 99 games (-28.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 72 games (-28.45 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-23.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 90 games (-39.45 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 60 games (-23.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-22.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-21.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games (-21.10 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

Keys to the game – away

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Pacers vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, May 27

  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers have a TS% of 54% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,221 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (18,093 points/14,909 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (492 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4

The Pacers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.