Celtics vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -11.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Celtics vs Rockets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 21-19 against the spread, while the Rockets are 20-19 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-11.5 -115O 226.5 -110-800
Houston Rockets +11.5 -105U 226.5 -110+550

Rockets vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 87.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Celtics and Rockets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Rockets vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 91 games (+26.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 70 of their last 91 games (+25.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+15.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 46 games (+12.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 58 of their last 91 games (+12.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+23.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+15.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+14.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 21-19 (+0.15 Units / 0.32% ROI).

  • 32-10 against the Moneyline (+12.6 Units / 7.12% ROI)
  • 22-20 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 20-22 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 20-19 (-0.9 Units / -1.99% ROI).

  • 20-21 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 7.44% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 42 games at home (-19.65 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-17.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-17.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 74 games (-16.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 72 games (-12.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 98 games (-26.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 65 games (-21.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 65 games (-20.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-18.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 95 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Celtics are 27-6 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Celtics were 44-17 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Celtics are 12-1 (.923) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets are winless (0-10) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets are winless (0-7) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .170

Injury Report: Rockets vs. CelticsSunday‘s Game, Jan. 21

  • Jeff Green (Houston Rockets): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Victor Oladipo (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out
  • Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jock Landale (Houston Rockets): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics made 16.0 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (229 assists/ 198 TOs) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,735 rebounds/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,623 rebounds/42 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,303 points/1,965 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.