Celtics vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

  • The Celtics are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Boston Celtics visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Suns Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 30-29 against the spread, while the Suns are 25-36 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-5.5 -105O 226.5 -110-210
Phoenix Suns +5.5 -115U 226.5 -110+170

Suns vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Suns.

Suns vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 65 games (+23.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 31 away games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 61 games (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 88 games (+23.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 90 games (+22.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 49 games at home (+21.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 30-29 (-1.9 Units / -2.78% ROI).

  • 48-14 against the Moneyline (+8.3 Units / 2.75% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.62% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -1.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 25-36 (-14.85 Units / -21.32% ROI).

  • 37-26 against the Moneyline (-4.6 Units / -2.95% ROI)
  • 27-36 against the Over for game total points (-12.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 36-27 against the Under for game total points (+6.3 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 90 games (-40.70 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 90 games (-35.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-33.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 90 games (-32.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 90 games (-23.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 90 games (-20.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 96 games (-20.55 Units / -5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 95 games (-14.30 Units / -14% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Celtics are 31-6 (.838) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Celtics are 14-1 (.933) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Suns are 15-10 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Suns are 0-13 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have allowed 110.8 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd-best in the NBA.

The Suns are 10-3 (.769) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Injury Report: Suns vs. CelticsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 9

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics made 16.0 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Suns have an eFG% of 50% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Suns have averaged 1.38 points per shot (3,215 points/2,336 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Suns have averaged 7.6 turnovers per game (401 turnovers/53 games) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,064 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (351 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 316 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 748 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among NBA teams


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