Celtics vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 17, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -10.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Celtics vs Wizards Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 34-29 against the spread, while the Wizards are 30-36 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-14.5 -115O 226.5 -110-1200
Washington Wizards +14.5 -105U 226.5 -110+725

Wizards vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 87.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Wizards.

Wizards vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 69 games (+26.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 34 away games (+21.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 34-29 (+2.1 Units / 2.89% ROI).

  • 52-14 against the Moneyline (+13.65 Units / 4.35% ROI)
  • 31-34 against the Over for game total points (-6.35 Units / -8.75% ROI)
  • 34-31 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-36 (-9.6 Units / -13.03% ROI).

  • 11-56 against the Moneyline (-37.4 Units / -53.58% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.48% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 73 games (-40.90 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 60 games (-20.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 61 games (-16.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 37 games at home (-13.35 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 10 of their last 31 games at home (-13.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 97 games (-30.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.55 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 94 games (-23.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 89 games (-19.40 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.40 Units / -18% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Celtics are 31-6 (.838) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Celtics are 35-7 (.833) when winning the rebounding margin this season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Wizards have averaged 47.8 rebounds/game this season — lowest in the NBA.

The Celtics are winless (0-3) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Celtics are 37-5 (.881) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Wizards are 2-27 (.069) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Wizards are 2-17 (.105) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Wizards are 4-34 (.105) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Injury Report: Wizards vs. CelticsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 17

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
  • Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,120 points/53 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (510 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (492 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (262 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 29.3 points in the paint per game (1,552 points/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.9

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,064 rebounds/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (351 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (5,885 points/4,929 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (906 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards have allowed 19.2 second chance points per game (499 points/26 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,789 rebounds/53 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Wizards have allowed 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,000 rebounds/53 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5


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