Grizzlies vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -18.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Celtics Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 23-26 against the spread, while the Celtics are 23-24 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+18.5 -105O 218.5 -110+1200
Boston Celtics -18.5 -115U 218.5 -110-3000

Celtics vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 95.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Grizzlies and Celtics, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Celtics vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+20.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+17.75 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+16.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+16.15 Units / 124% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 63 of their last 98 games (+27.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 74 of their last 98 games (+19.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 94 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 23-26 (-5.65 Units / -10.46% ROI).

  • 18-31 against the Moneyline (+1.75 Units / 3% ROI)
  • 19-30 against the Over for game total points (-14 Units / -25.97% ROI)
  • 30-19 against the Under for game total points (+9.1 Units / 16.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 23-24 (-3.35 Units / -6.21% ROI).

  • 37-12 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 1% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 90 games (-33.60 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 72 games (-21.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-28.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Grizzlies are winless (0-15) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228

The Grizzlies are 6-22 (.214) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have averaged 55.2 rebounds/game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 2-14 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .333

The Grizzlies are winless (0-9) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Celtics are 29-6 (.829) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Celtics are 19-1 (.950) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Celtics were 36-14 (.720) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Celtics vs. GrizzliesSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Luke Kornet (Boston Celtics): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Vince Williams Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • John Konchar (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzlies): Hand, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Rose (Memphis Grizzlies): Hamstring, Game Time Decision

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (867/2,031) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (1,896/4,331) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 50% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 793 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (306 blocks/49 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,645/3,735) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,900 rebounds/49 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,012 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (324 blocks/49 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.