Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Kings are -9.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Kings Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 33-35 against the spread, while the Kings are 33-32 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+10.5 -110O 221.5 -115+400
Sacramento Kings -10.5 -110U 221.5 -105-550

Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Kings.

Kings vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games (+21.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+16.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 33-35 (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI).

  • 23-45 against the Moneyline (+0.45 Units / 0.57% ROI)
  • 31-37 against the Over for game total points (-9.7 Units / -12.97% ROI)
  • 37-31 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 3.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 33-32 (-2.15 Units / -2.96% ROI).

  • 38-28 against the Moneyline (-18.85 Units / -12.92% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • 32-32 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games at home (-40.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 85 games (-19.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-17.65 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 70 games (-14.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 84 games (-14.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 80 games (-31.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-21.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 87 games (-16.15 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies are 4-16 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Kings have made 14.4 three-pointers per game this season — T-4th-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 45-27 (.625) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Kings are 23-9 (.719) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.3 made three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 24-12 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Kings were 16-2 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Injury Report: Kings vs. GrizzliesMonday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies averaged 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,784 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,340/7,365) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (331 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,835 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (360/858) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4


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