Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 25, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -14.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Nuggets Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 35-36 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 32-37 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+14.5 -110O 213.5 -110+800
Denver Nuggets -14.5 -110U 213.5 -110-1400

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 93.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 63.5% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+21.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 away games (+17.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games (+11.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 92 games (+27.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 98 games (+20.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+15.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 100 games (+15.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+13.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-36 (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI).

  • 24-47 against the Moneyline (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
  • 33-38 against the Over for game total points (-8.8 Units / -11.27% ROI)
  • 38-33 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 2.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-37 (-8.7 Units / -11.13% ROI).

  • 50-21 against the Moneyline (+16 Units / 6.45% ROI)
  • 28-41 against the Over for game total points (-17.1 Units / -21.88% ROI)
  • 41-28 against the Under for game total points (+10.25 Units / 13.13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-34.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-26.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-24.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 99 games (-15.90 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 84 games (-13.60 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 83 games (-32.10 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-24.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-22.90 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games (-15.70 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-15) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .152

The Grizzlies are winless (0-23) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .209

The Grizzlies are 12-25 (.324) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 34-11 (.756) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Nuggets are 15-4 (.789) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. GrizzliesMonday‘s Game, Mar. 25

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 51% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,764 assists/ 1,071 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,046 assists/ 420 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 7.9 steals per game (562 steals/71 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,425 rebounds/71 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (499 steals/71 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (557 steals/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets have averaged 7.5 steals per game (560 steals/75 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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