Grizzlies vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Pacers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Pacers Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 20-25 against the spread, while the Pacers are 26-18 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+7.5 -115O 229.5 -110+225
Indiana Pacers -7.5 -105U 229.5 -110-275

Pacers vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Sunday‘s game with 82.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Grizzlies and Pacers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pacers vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 57.7% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+18.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+18.75 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+11.15 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 72 games (+18.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+15.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 20-25 (-7.55 Units / -15.22% ROI).

  • 18-27 against the Moneyline (+5.75 Units / 10.58% ROI)
  • 19-26 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units / -19.39% ROI)
  • 26-19 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units / 10.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 26-18 (+6.2 Units / 11.99% ROI).

  • 26-21 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 2.51% ROI)
  • 27-18 against the Over for game total points (+7.15 Units / 13.8% ROI)
  • 18-27 against the Under for game total points (-11.65 Units / -22.58% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 70 games (-29.00 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-22.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 36 games (-19.30 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 74 games (-19.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-20.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.80 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Grizzlies are winless (0-13) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 6-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 51% this season — worst in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pacers are 1-5 (.167) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are 17-8 (.680) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pacers are 14-6 (.700) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

Injury Report: Pacers vs. GrizzliesSunday‘s Game, Jan. 28

  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Heel, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (765/1,774) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,849 points/3,992 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Grizzlies are shooting 34% from three (612/1,774) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 125.0 points per game (5,751 points/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Pacers have averaged 14.7 assists per game (676 assists/46 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (755 blocks/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,505 rebounds/46 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 52% (1,102/2,118) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,235 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.