Grizzlies vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Raptors Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 17-25 against the spread, while the Raptors are 20-22 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+7.5 -115O 225.5 -110+225
Toronto Raptors -7.5 -105U 225.5 -110-275

Raptors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Monday‘s game with 75.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Grizzlies and Raptors, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Raptors vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+18.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+12.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+12.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 17-25 (-10.55 Units / -22.79% ROI).

  • 15-27 against the Moneyline (-2.75 Units / -5.36% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 20-22 (-4.2 Units / -8.87% ROI).

  • 16-27 against the Moneyline (-16.85 Units / -25.28% ROI)
  • 23-20 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 2.12% ROI)
  • 20-23 against the Under for game total points (-5.35 Units / -11.3% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 games (-22.00 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-19.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games (-15.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 38 games (-15.25 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 61 games (-14.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-30.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-27.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-27.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.10 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-13) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .219

The Grizzlies are 6-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .781

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 4-13 (.235) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have made 13.5 three-pointers per game this season — 9th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were 3-6 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Raptors are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Raptors vs. GrizzliesMonday‘s Game, Jan. 22

  • Christian Koloko (Toronto Raptors): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Ribs, Game Time Decision
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (723/1,684) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies have averaged 107.8 points per game (4,529 points/42 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (2,236 points/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (734 blocks/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,001 steals/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 5.2 blocks per game (424 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.