Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -15.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Thunder Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 31-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 38-24 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+14.5 -105O 219.5 -110+725
Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5 -115U 219.5 -110-1200

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 95.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Thunder.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 72 games (+21.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+19.45 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 away games (+17.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 27 games at home (+20.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+17.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+14.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 67 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-33 (-5.2 Units / -7.39% ROI).

  • 22-42 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 2.81% ROI)
  • 29-35 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.49% ROI)
  • 35-29 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.4% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 38-24 (+11.55 Units / 16.67% ROI).

  • 44-19 against the Moneyline (+12.45 Units / 6.99% ROI)
  • 33-26 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 6.34% ROI)
  • 26-33 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -14.74% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 60 games (-17.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-16.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-14.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (-13.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-28.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 86 games (-20.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.65 Units / -23% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Grizzlies are 2-20 (.091) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 39% from three this season — best in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 5-10 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Thunder are 22-5 (.815) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Thunder are 27-5 (.844) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 32-9 (.780) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

Injury Report: Thunder vs. GrizzliesSunday‘s Game, Mar. 10

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 106.7 points per game (5,762 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (347/860) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (580 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (331 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.5 steals per game (559 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,645/3,735) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (408 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/53 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,276 rebounds/67 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder have 430 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.