Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -12.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 17-23 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 20-19 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+12.5 -115O 214.5 -110+525
Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5 -105U 214.5 -110-750

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 89.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Grizzlies and Timberwolves, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+21.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 82 games (+20.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+14.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 37 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 17-23 (-8.35 Units / -18.93% ROI).

  • 15-25 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -1.52% ROI)
  • 16-24 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 24-16 against the Under for game total points (+6.4 Units / 14.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 20-19 (-0.9 Units / -2.04% ROI).

  • 29-11 against the Moneyline (+15.85 Units / 15.12% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.04% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Under for game total points (-2.95 Units / -6.71% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-22.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 37 games at home (-14.40 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 38 games at home (-12.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 55 games (-12.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-32.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 82 games (-29.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.10 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-11) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .222

The Grizzlies are undefeated (6-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .778

The Grizzlies were 13-6 (.684) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 10-3 (.769) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Timberwolves are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Timberwolves were 24-14 (.632) when they win the turnover margin last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Timberwolves are 6-1 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.6 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesThursday‘s Game, Jan. 18

  • Jaden McDaniels (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Out
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (723/1,684) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 51% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 113.4 points per game (4,535 points/40 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Timberwolves averaged 12.3 second chance points per game (1,011 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 52% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.8 fast break points per game (511 points/40 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have allowed a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (253 blocks/40 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies stole the ball 680 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (237 blocks/40 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Timberwolves blocked 444 shots last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.