Hawks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 21-41 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 31-32 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks-2.5 -105O 215.5 -105-135
Memphis Grizzlies +2.5 -115U 215.5 -115+110

Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Friday‘s game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 71 games (+20.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+19.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 36 games at home (+18.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 38 games (+15.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 21-41 (-24 Units / -35.27% ROI).

  • 28-34 against the Moneyline (-16.4 Units / -16.34% ROI)
  • 32-28 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 1.76% ROI)
  • 28-32 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -10.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-32 (-4.1 Units / -5.92% ROI).

  • 22-41 against the Moneyline (+3.1 Units / 4.2% ROI)
  • 29-34 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -12.12% ROI)
  • 34-29 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 87 games (-27.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 85 games (-19.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 77 games (-30.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 77 games (-28.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 56 games (-27.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-20.55 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 13-16 (.448) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Hawks are 7-13 (.350) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies are 8-30 (.211) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Hawks have averaged 52.9 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 6-26 (.188) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. HawksFriday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Hawks are shooting 47% (2,361/5,055) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hawks have made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks have 25.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 106.7 points per game (5,762 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (382/916) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,833 rebounds/54 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have allowed 17.4 fast break points per game (486 points/28 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have blocked 331 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies stole the ball 680 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.