Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2023, 11:03 AM
  • The Hawks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 25, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Hawks vs Thunder Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 20-27 against the spread, while the Thunder are 31-16 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks-1.5 -110O 238.5 -110-120
Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 -110U 238.5 -110+100

Thunder vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Hawks and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 45 away games (+19.32 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.53 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.48 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 73 games (+33.26 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (+29.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+18.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+15.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 20-27 (-9.7 Units / -18.37% ROI).

  • 24-24 against the Moneyline (-9.55 Units / -11.42% ROI)
  • 27-21 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 21-27 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -16.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-16 (+13.45 Units / 26.02% ROI).

  • 23-24 against the Moneyline (+18.1 Units / 34.02% ROI)
  • 26-20 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 7.74% ROI)
  • 20-26 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -16.63% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 73 games (-25.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 81 games (-23.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-22.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-17.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 91 games (-26.99 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-25.39 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (-23.87 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-17.04 Units / -18% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Atlanta Hawks are 18-32 (.360) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Chicago Bulls have averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (1,585 turnovers/127 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 18-32 (.360) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Hawks are 43-28 (.606) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Hawks are 21-11 (.656) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .517

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 14-35 (.286) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (1,524 turnovers/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-27 (.129) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks has shot 36% from three (1,564/4,294) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-best among NBA teams.

The Thunder are 12-59 (.169) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Thunder are 25-41 (.379) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Injury Report: Thunder vs. HawksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 25

  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Robinson-Earl is considered week-to-week, according to Ryan Stiles of BricktownBuckets.com.
  • De’Andre Hunter (Hawks): Hunter is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan 25) game against Oklahoma City.
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Hawks): Okongwu is questionable for Wednesday’s (Jan 25) game against Oklahoma City.

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (1,506 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Hawks have a 21% free throw rate (461 free throw attempts/2,155 field goal attempts) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,136 assists/ 582 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks have averaged 4.5 fast break points per game (909 points/201 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (10,701 points/9,042 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (4,560 assists/ 2,820 TOs) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (1,206/3,646) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (13,985 points/11,665 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (687 steals/101 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,418 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have blocked 235 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (915 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (243 blocks/47 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have 1,000 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have 378 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,000 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.