Hawks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -13.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | WPCH

The Atlanta Hawks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 28-52 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 40-39 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+13.5 -115O 225.5 -105+575
Minnesota Timberwolves -13.5 -105U 225.5 -115-900

Timberwolves vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 91.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+12.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games at home (+22.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 28-52 (-29.2 Units / -33.18% ROI).

  • 36-44 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -7.78% ROI)
  • 44-34 against the Over for game total points (+6.65 Units / 7.66% ROI)
  • 34-44 against the Under for game total points (-14.4 Units / -16.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 40-39 (-3 Units / -3.4% ROI).

  • 55-25 against the Moneyline (+6.65 Units / 2.36% ROI)
  • 41-39 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.16% ROI)
  • 39-41 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -6.93% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 85 games (-27.85 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-20.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 86 games (-31.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 74 games (-27.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 48 games (-22.55 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks are 10-16 (.385) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Timberwolves are 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Timberwolves are 43-10 (.811) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 120.2 points per game this season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 17-13 (.567) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Timberwolves were 23-14 (.622) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. HawksFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks shot 48% (3,658/7,574) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 43% (357/835) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (998 points/80 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves have 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,752 rebounds/80 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (363 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (557/1,371) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 7.9 steals per game (632 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,906 rebounds/80 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.