Hawks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Hawks vs Warriors Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 11-32 against the spread, while the Warriors are 19-21 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+6.5 -110O 234.5 -105+200
Golden State Warriors -6.5 -110U 234.5 -115-250

Warriors vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 74.3% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Hawks and Warriors, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Warriors vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+9.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-32 (-24.1 Units / -51.06% ROI).

  • 18-25 against the Moneyline (-13 Units / -18.47% ROI)
  • 22-20 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 20-22 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -8.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 19-21 (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI).

  • 18-22 against the Moneyline (-9.1 Units / -11.51% ROI)
  • 24-16 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 14.56% ROI)
  • 16-24 against the Under for game total points (-10.45 Units / -23.72% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-24.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (-23.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 82 games (-22.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 79 games (-32.20 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 37 games (-23.65 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-21.15 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 58 games (-20.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 5-18 (.217) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 54.5 rebounds/game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Hawks were 35-28 (.556) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Hawks are 11-2 (.846) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Warriors are 8-1 (.889) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors are 8-1 (.889) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .782

The Warriors are 10-12 (.455) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Injury Report: Warriors vs. HawksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 24

  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
  • Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out
  • Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks): Wrist, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Kobe Bufkin (Atlanta Hawks): Thumb, Out

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,711 points/7,574 shots) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors have averaged 5.3 fast break points per game (212 points/40 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,447 rebounds/43 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have averaged 7.9 steals per game (341 steals/43 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hawks have allowed 17.2 fast break points per game (344 points/20 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (146 blocks/40 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 7.0 steals per game (850 steals/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,429 rebounds/40 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.