Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 17

  • The 76ers are +76 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Miami Heat visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The 76ers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at +76 (-105).

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 40-40 against the spread, while the 76ers are 48-33 against the spread.


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Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+5.5 -115O 208.5 -115+180
Philadelphia 76ers +76 -105U 208.5 -105-225

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Wednesday‘s game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and 76ers.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 away games (+22.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+15.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 92 games (+14.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 92 games (+15.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+13.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 40-40 (-4 Units / -4.43% ROI).

  • 46-36 against the Moneyline (+0.5 Units / 0.29% ROI)
  • 35-47 against the Over for game total points (-16.7 Units / -18.51% ROI)
  • 47-35 against the Under for game total points (+8.5 Units / 9.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 48-33 (+11.65 Units / 12.91% ROI).

  • 47-35 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 43-39 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI)
  • 39-43 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -9.2% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 64 games (-26.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-24.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 59 games (-10.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 98 games (-27.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-25.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-19.65 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Heat are 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Heat are 29-17 (.630) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers were 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The 76ers are 22-1 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The 76ers are 23-11 (.676) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The 76ers are 5-2 (.714) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: 76ers vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 17

  • De’Anthony Melton (Philadelphia 76ers): Back, Out
  • KJ Martin (Philadelphia 76ers): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Neck, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (8,676 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 1.38 points per shot (9,448 points/6,870 shots) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The 76ers have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers shot 39% from three (1,035/2,676) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The 76ers are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,692/2,013) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (258 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (492 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.