Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 17

  • The 76ers are +76 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Miami Heat visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

The 76ers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at +76 (-105).

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 40-40 against the spread, while the 76ers are 48-33 against the spread.


Bet now on 76ers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+5.5 -115O 208.5 -115+180
Philadelphia 76ers +76 -105U 208.5 -105-225

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Wednesday‘s game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and 76ers.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.


Bet now on 76ers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 away games (+22.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games (+17.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+15.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 92 games (+14.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 92 games (+15.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+13.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 40-40 (-4 Units / -4.43% ROI).

  • 46-36 against the Moneyline (+0.5 Units / 0.29% ROI)
  • 35-47 against the Over for game total points (-16.7 Units / -18.51% ROI)
  • 47-35 against the Under for game total points (+8.5 Units / 9.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 48-33 (+11.65 Units / 12.91% ROI).

  • 47-35 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 43-39 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI)
  • 39-43 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -9.2% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 64 games (-26.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-24.80 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 59 games (-10.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 98 games (-27.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-25.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-19.65 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Heat are 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Heat are 29-17 (.630) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers were 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The 76ers are 22-1 (.957) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749

The 76ers are 23-11 (.676) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The 76ers are 5-2 (.714) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: 76ers vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 17

  • De’Anthony Melton (Philadelphia 76ers): Back, Out
  • KJ Martin (Philadelphia 76ers): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Neck, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (8,676 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 1.38 points per shot (9,448 points/6,870 shots) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The 76ers have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers shot 39% from three (1,035/2,676) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The 76ers are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,692/2,013) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (258 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (492 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


Bet now on 76ers vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.