Heat vs 76ers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The 76ers are +76 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSPA | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

The 76ers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at +76 (-105).

The Heat vs 76ers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 26-28 against the spread, while the 76ers are 31-22 against the spread.


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Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+3.5 -115O 224.5 -105+135
Philadelphia 76ers +76 -105U 224.5 -115-160

76ers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the 76ers will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and 76ers.

76ers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 away games (+23.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 games (+21.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 52 of their last 86 games (+18.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 87 games (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+21.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 87 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 26-28 (-4.7 Units / -7.92% ROI).

  • 29-25 against the Moneyline (-1.05 Units / -1.19% ROI)
  • 21-33 against the Over for game total points (-15.3 Units / -25.76% ROI)
  • 33-21 against the Under for game total points (+9.9 Units / 16.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 31-22 (+6.65 Units / 11.41% ROI).

  • 32-21 against the Moneyline (+3.2 Units / 2.26% ROI)
  • 32-21 against the Over for game total points (+8.9 Units / 15.27% ROI)
  • 21-32 against the Under for game total points (-14.15 Units / -24.29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 90 games (-20.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 67 games (-16.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-16.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 89 games (-16.40 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 89 games (-16.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-27.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 63 games (-23.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 89 games (-19.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-18.80 Units / -24% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are winless (0-3) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Heat were 16-6 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Heat are 6-7 (.462) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 18-4 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 49.8 rebounds/game this season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The 76ers were 17-5 (.773) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The 76ers were 32-13 (.711) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The 76ers are 30-20 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: 76ers vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 14

  • De’Anthony Melton (Philadelphia 76ers): Back, Out
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Tobias Harris (Philadelphia 76ers): Hip, Out
  • Nicolas Batum (Philadelphia 76ers): Hamstring, Out
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
  • Jimmy Butler (Miami Heat): Personal, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 107.5 points per game (7,092 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,766 points/3,435 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (3,474 free throw attempts/11,622 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The 76ers are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,418/1,716) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The 76ers have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (631 turnovers/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (169 blocks/53 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (412 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.7 steals per game (462 steals/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The 76ers allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (118/405) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (368 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.