Heat vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 21

  • The Heat are -1.5 favorites vs. the Magic
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSFL | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Heat vs Magic Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 20-22 against the spread, while the Magic are 27-15 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+1.5 -120O 213.5 -110-105
Orlando Magic -1.5 +100U 213.5 -110-115

Magic vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Heat and Magic, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Magic vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 games (+26.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 75 games (+19.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 games (+19.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 77 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+18.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+14.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 20-22 (-4.15 Units / -8.98% ROI).

  • 24-18 against the Moneyline (+4.7 Units / 7.15% ROI)
  • 18-24 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 24-18 against the Under for game total points (+4.2 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 27-15 (+10.6 Units / 23.02% ROI).

  • 22-20 against the Moneyline (+7.25 Units / 12.11% ROI)
  • 18-23 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -15.8% ROI)
  • 23-18 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 6.93% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 24 games (-16.35 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 29 games at home (-14.40 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 71 games (-12.00 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 91 games (-19.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-19.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-18.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 99 games (-18.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.15 Units / -36% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Heat are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Heat are 18-10 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Magic were 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic were 9-1 (.900) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Magic are 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .815

Injury Report: Magic vs. HeatSunday‘s Game, Jan. 21

  • Jonathan Isaac (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Orlando Magic): Finger, Game Time Decision
  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • R.J. Hampton (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Haywood Highsmith (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat are shooting 45% (2,428/5,388) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,437 assists/ 951 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Magic averaged 108.5 points per game (4,449 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (195 blocks/63 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (382 blocks/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (139 blocks/42 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (344 steals/42 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have 947 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Magic have 344 steals this season — tied for 4th most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 7.6 steals per game (947 steals/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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