Heat vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

• The Mavericks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
• Watch the game on TNT | BSW+

The Miami Heat visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Mavericks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 31-30 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 32-30 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 47 away games (+28.10 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 31 games (+18.30 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 57 of their last 94 games (+17.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 85 games (+17.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 70 games (+17.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-30 (-1.9 Units / -2.83% ROI).

• 35-26 against the Moneyline (+5.5 Units / 5.24% ROI)
• 24-37 against the Over for game total points (-16.7 Units / -24.89% ROI)
• 37-24 against the Under for game total points (+10.6 Units / 15.8% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 32-30 (-0.95 Units / -1.4% ROI).

• 34-28 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -3.77% ROI)
• 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.93% ROI)
• 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -5.87% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 72 games (-32.15 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 78 games (-30.10 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-23.40 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 48 games (-21.65 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 49 games (-18.40 Units / -29% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 93 games (-25.05 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-24.55 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-24.50 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-23.20 Units / -21% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 52 games (-17.35 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Heat – Thursday‘s Game, Mar. 7

• Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision

• Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
• Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
• Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
• Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
• Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
• Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

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