Heat vs Nets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on YES | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Brooklyn, NY.

The Nets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Heat vs Nets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 19-20 against the spread, while the Nets are 19-18 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+1.5 -115O 221.5 -115+100
Brooklyn Nets -1.5 -105U 221.5 -105-120

Nets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nets will win Monday‘s game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Heat and Nets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Nets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 69 games (+29.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 63 games (+23.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 72 games (+23.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 74 games (+21.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+14.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 19-20 (-2.95 Units / -6.88% ROI).

  • 23-16 against the Moneyline (+7.9 Units / 13.06% ROI)
  • 18-21 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 21-18 against the Under for game total points (+1.2 Units / 2.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 19-18 (-0.7 Units / -1.68% ROI).

  • 16-22 against the Moneyline (-9.45 Units / -16.2% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.91% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Under for game total points (-2.85 Units / -6.83% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-15.50 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 56 games (-15.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 88 games (-22.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 96 games (-21.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-17.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.40 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Heat were 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Heat are 10-2 (.833) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Heat are 22-10 (.688) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Nets are 1-13 (.071) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

The Nets are 1-7 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Nets were 20-3 (.870) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Nets were 22-3 (.880) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

Injury Report: Nets vs. HeatMonday‘s Game, Jan. 15

  • Ben Simmons (Brooklyn Nets): Back, Out
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Brooklyn Nets): Hamstring, Out
  • Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • R.J. Hampton (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Haywood Highsmith (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 43.5 points in the paint per game (2,656 points/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.1

The Heat have averaged 5.0 fast break points per game (609 points/121 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (3,604 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Nets had a TS% of 53% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Nets had an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Nets averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (905 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (186 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,339 rebounds/39 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (128 blocks/39 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets averaged 6.2 blocks per game (506 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nets have averaged 6.4 steals per game (244 steals/38 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nets blocked 506 shots last season — most among NBA teams

The Nets have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (713 blocks/120 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.