Heat vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 29

• The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat
• Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
• Watch the game on TNT

The Miami Heat visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Heat vs Nuggets Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 30-28 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 26-31 against the spread.

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Heat vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 away games (+29.10 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 82 games (+19.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 91 games (+19.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 28 games (+17.40 Units / 57% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 93 games (+25.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 92 games (+22.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 80 games (+22.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+18.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 30-28 (-0.7 Units / -1.1% ROI).

• 33-25 against the Moneyline (+4.5 Units / 4.77% ROI)
• 22-36 against the Over for game total points (-17.6 Units / -27.59% ROI)
• 36-22 against the Under for game total points (+11.8 Units / 18.5% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 26-31 (-8.2 Units / -12.57% ROI).

• 40-19 against the Moneyline (+10.9 Units / 5.55% ROI)
• 21-37 against the Over for game total points (-19.7 Units / -30.38% ROI)
• 37-21 against the Under for game total points (+13.9 Units / 21.42% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 99 games (-36.10 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 92 games (-31.80 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-26.60 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 98 games (-20.25 Units / -18% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-20.25 Units / -19% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:

• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 90 games (-25.95 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 67 games (-25.40 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.25 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.25 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-18.90 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
• Miami Heat Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Miami Heat Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Heat – Thursday‘s Game, Feb. 29

• Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
• Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
• Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out

• Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
• Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
• Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
• Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
• Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
• Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

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