Hornets vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -14.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | BSCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Bucks Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 18-32 against the spread, while the Bucks are 19-32 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+14.5 -115O 227.5 -105+800
Milwaukee Bucks -14.5 -105U 227.5 -115-1400

Bucks vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 92.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Bucks.

Bucks vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 32 away games (+19.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games at home (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 18-32 (-17.15 Units / -31.27% ROI).

  • 10-40 against the Moneyline (-12.1 Units / -23.03% ROI)
  • 27-23 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 3.09% ROI)
  • 23-27 against the Under for game total points (-6.7 Units / -12.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 19-32 (-16.2 Units / -28.25% ROI).

  • 33-19 against the Moneyline (-5.7 Units / -3.22% ROI)
  • 29-23 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 6.46% ROI)
  • 23-29 against the Under for game total points (-8.85 Units / -15.49% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games (-24.65 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 66 games (-23.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 59 games (-21.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 56 games (-27.95 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-22.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 69 games (-19.15 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Hornets are 2-8 (.200) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Hornets are 2-12 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hornets are 13-61 (.176) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .360

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks are 15-5 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed 13.7 made three-pointers per game this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. HornetsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 9

  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Gordon Hayward (Charlotte Hornets): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Charlotte Hornets): Not Injury Related, Out

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 1.22 points per shot (14,533 points/11,871 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hornets averaged 1.23 points per shot (9,098 points/7,413 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Hornets are shooting 45% (2,699/5,949) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets have averaged 1.23 points per shot (7,300 points/5,949 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have averaged 61.8 points per game (3,215 points/52 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,630 rebounds/50 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 44% from three (368/843) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets blocked 425 shots last season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (342/837) in the second half this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,176 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (9,291 points/7,644 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.