Hornets vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 10, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Hawks Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 32-46 against the spread, while the Hawks are 28-51 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+10.5 -115O 220.5 -105+400
Atlanta Hawks -10.5 -105U 220.5 -115-550

Hawks vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 81.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Hawks.

Hawks vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+12.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+18.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+16.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+14.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 32-46 (-18.6 Units / -21.4% ROI).

  • 19-60 against the Moneyline (-7.65 Units / -9.29% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.34% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -5.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 28-51 (-28.1 Units / -32.34% ROI).

  • 36-43 against the Moneyline (-6.75 Units / -5.12% ROI)
  • 43-34 against the Over for game total points (+5.65 Units / 6.59% ROI)
  • 34-43 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -15.49% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 73 games (-28.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 47 games (-23.55 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-19.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.95 Units / -22% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Hornets are 2-25 (.074) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .401

The Hornets are winless (0-14) when forcing fewer than 5 steals this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387

The Hornets are 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Hornets are 5-32 (.135) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Hawks are 29-2 (.935) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .797

The Hawks are 2-19 (.095) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Hawks are undefeated (9-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .881

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Hawks vs. HornetsWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 10

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Davis Bertans (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have 18.4 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

The Hornets have averaged 51.0 points per game (4,029 points/79 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2

The Hornets have averaged 1.22 points per shot (17,505 points/14,300 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Hornets have averaged 104.6 points per game (3,975 points/38 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.2

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks have averaged 18.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,445 rebounds/79 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Hawks averaged 1.28 points per shot (9,711 points/7,574 shots) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,607 rebounds/79 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Hornets have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,522 rebounds/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hornets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (538 steals/79 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (361 blocks/79 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,718 rebounds/79 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (551/1,355) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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