Hornets vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

  • The Hawks are -8.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Hawks Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 27-41 against the spread, while the Hawks are 23-46 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+8.5 -115O 213.5 -110+280
Atlanta Hawks -8.5 -105U 213.5 -110-350

Hawks vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 76.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Hawks.

Hawks vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 72 games (+18.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 39 away games (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+9.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 27-41 (-18.1 Units / -23.85% ROI).

  • 17-52 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -11.23% ROI)
  • 32-37 against the Over for game total points (-8.7 Units / -11.46% ROI)
  • 37-32 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 2.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 23-46 (-27.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 30-39 against the Moneyline (-17.95 Units / -16.39% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.15 Units / -0.2% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.68% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 84 games (-33.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 63 games (-32.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 games (-20.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 76 games (-28.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 76 games (-28.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-18.35 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Hornets are 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Hornets were 11-26 (.297) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Hornets are 2-20 (.091) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Hawks are 13-18 (.419) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .115

The Hawks are 7-23 (.233) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322

Injury Report: Hawks vs. HornetsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 23

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Davis Bertans (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have 18.5 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets averaged 109.2 points per game (4,479 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Hornets have averaged 1.21 points per shot (7,355 points/6,062 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (1,120 points/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Hawks are shooting 46% (2,968/6,408) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,174 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks shot 48% (3,658/7,574) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,295 rebounds/69 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (476 steals/69 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hornets averaged 7.7 steals per game (634 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Hornets averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (487/1,173) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (317 blocks/69 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,345 rebounds/69 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (4,237 points/2,967 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31


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