Hornets vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pistons are -4.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Hornets vs Pistons Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 26-38 against the spread, while the Pistons are 31-31 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+4.5 -105O 217.5 -115+165
Detroit Pistons -4.5 -115U 217.5 -105-200

Pistons vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Monday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Pistons.

Pistons vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 away games (+13.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+11.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 26-38 (-15.7 Units / -22.35% ROI).

  • 16-48 against the Moneyline (-5.7 Units / -8.57% ROI)
  • 30-34 against the Over for game total points (-7.35 Units / -10.45% ROI)
  • 34-30 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 31-31 (-3.1 Units / -4.47% ROI).

  • 10-53 against the Moneyline (-29.2 Units / -44.75% ROI)
  • 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.59% ROI)
  • 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.53% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 76 games (-39.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 68 games (-19.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 38 games at home (-18.90 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-17.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 70 games (-24.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 36 away games (-17.10 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.00 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Hornets are 2-9 (.182) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Hornets are 2-13 (.133) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hornets are 17-31 (.354) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Hornets are 1-17 (.056) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 4-62 (.061) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons are winless (0-23) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Injury Report: Pistons vs. HornetsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Davis Bertans (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets have 19.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Hornets averaged 109.2 points per game (4,479 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (719/2,166) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (652 assists/ 405 TOs) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,754 rebounds/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (386/895) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets have averaged 6.5 steals per game (345 steals/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hornets stole the ball 634 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,565 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.