Hornets vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -15.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | KSBI

The Charlotte Hornets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Hornets vs Thunder Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 16-30 against the spread, while the Thunder are 30-17 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+15.5 -110O 225.5 -115+800
Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5 -110U 225.5 -105-1400

Thunder vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 95.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Hornets and Thunder, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Thunder vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 31 away games (+20.60 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 16-30 (-16.95 Units / -33.56% ROI).

  • 10-36 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -16.68% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 30-17 (+11.25 Units / 21.33% ROI).

  • 33-15 against the Moneyline (+10.45 Units / 9.06% ROI)
  • 25-22 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.52% ROI)
  • 22-25 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-16.95 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 77 games (-13.80 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 39 games at home (-12.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 50 games (-11.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 52 games (-26.65 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-23.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-23.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.55 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Hornets are 2-7 (.222) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Hornets are 3-20 (.130) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Hornets are 3-15 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 20-4 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were 20-8 (.714) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

Injury Report: Thunder vs. HornetsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Isaiah Joe (Oklahoma City Thunder): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Williams (Oklahoma City Thunder): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Gordon Hayward (Charlotte Hornets): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Charlotte Hornets): Not Injury Related, Out

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have 19.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets averaged 109.2 points per game (4,479 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Hornets have averaged 1.22 points per shot (14,093 points/11,505 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (324/785) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder are shooting 51% (1,066/2,081) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,502 rebounds/46 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (351/807) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets stole the ball 634 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Hornets averaged 7.7 steals per game (634 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 8.2 steals per game (392 steals/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have allowed 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (928 rebounds/48 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.6

The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,207 rebounds/130 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Thunder have allowed 18.5 offensive rebounds per game (2,411 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.