Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -12.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | KJZZ

The Utah Jazz visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Jazz vs Nuggets Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 35-28 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 28-33 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Jazz and all NBA games with BetMGM


Jazz vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+12.5 -110O 228.5 -110+575
Denver Nuggets -12.5 -110U 228.5 -110-900

Nuggets vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 90.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Jazz and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 76 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+14.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 76 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 97 games (+25.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 96 games (+22.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 84 games (+22.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 91 games (+14.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 35-28 (+4.1 Units / 5.91% ROI).

  • 28-35 against the Moneyline (-2.4 Units / -2.85% ROI)
  • 35-27 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 7.64% ROI)
  • 27-35 against the Under for game total points (-11.4 Units / -16.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 28-33 (-8.4 Units / -12.06% ROI).

  • 43-20 against the Moneyline (+10.15 Units / 4.95% ROI)
  • 23-39 against the Over for game total points (-19.9 Units / -28.74% ROI)
  • 39-23 against the Under for game total points (+13.7 Units / 19.77% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 97 games (-36.05 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 96 games (-32.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-21.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 76 games (-20.55 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 74 games (-23.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-21.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 63 games (-18.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-18.15 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Jazz were 4-11 (.267) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Jazz are 10-15 (.400) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Jazz are 5-1 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 32-11 (.744) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Nuggets are 21-5 (.808) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Nuggets are 31-7 (.816) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. JazzSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 9

  • Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
  • Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
  • Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (423 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (857 turnovers/54 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.8 second chance points per game (474 points/54 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,954/5,757) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (1,548 assists/ 682 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have allowed 19.9 fast break points per game (1,394 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Jazz averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,978 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Jazz have allowed 17.3 fast break points per game (2,350 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (449/1,382) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5

The Nuggets have blocked 353 shots on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th most among NBA teams


Bet now on Nuggets vs Jazz and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.