Jazz vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 20, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -15.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | BSOK

The Utah Jazz visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Jazz vs Thunder Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 36-32 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-27 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+15.5 -110O 231.5 -105+825
Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5 -110U 231.5 -115-1400

Thunder vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 95.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Thunder.

Thunder vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games at home (+20.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 36-32 (+0.85 Units / 1.14% ROI).

  • 29-39 against the Moneyline (-5.45 Units / -6.08% ROI)
  • 37-29 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 6.82% ROI)
  • 29-37 against the Under for game total points (-11.7 Units / -15.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-27 (+9.3 Units / 12.62% ROI).

  • 47-20 against the Moneyline (+12.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • 35-28 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 5.69% ROI)
  • 28-35 against the Under for game total points (-10.4 Units / -14.13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 64 games (-19.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-17.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 43 games (-15.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 43 games (-14.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-26.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 68 games (-22.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 73 games (-19.30 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Jazz are 8-11 (.421) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Jazz were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Jazz are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .115

The Jazz are 4-2 (.667) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 33-13 (.717) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Thunder are 42-11 (.792) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed 120.6 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 31-4 (.886) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Thunder vs. JazzWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 20

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 turnovers per game (536 turnovers/68 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 8.8 second chance points per game (600 points/68 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz averaged 117.1 points per game (9,600 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (460/1,134) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (340 points/33 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz allowed 16.8 fast break points per game (1,377 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Jazz have allowed 19.9 fast break points per game (1,473 points/74 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6

The Jazz have allowed 21.7 fast break points per game (716 points/33 games) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Thunder have allowed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (628 rebounds/67 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Thunder have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (451 blocks/67 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.