Jazz vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | NSBA

The Utah Jazz visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Jazz vs Warriors Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 41-40 against the spread, while the Warriors are 43-37 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+10.5 -115O 224.5 -110+400
Golden State Warriors -10.5 -105U 224.5 -110-550

Warriors vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 73.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Warriors.

Warriors vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+9.70 Units / 194% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 64 games (+8.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 41-40 (-2.95 Units / -3.31% ROI).

  • 31-50 against the Moneyline (-4.4 Units / -4.26% ROI)
  • 44-35 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 6.17% ROI)
  • 35-44 against the Under for game total points (-13.4 Units / -15.04% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-37 (+2.3 Units / 2.58% ROI).

  • 45-36 against the Moneyline (-8.15 Units / -4.44% ROI)
  • 40-41 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -5.72% ROI)
  • 41-40 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -3.37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 94 games (-19.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-17.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 games (-14.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 63 games (-13.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-24.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 62 games (-22.95 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 79 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are 6-18 (.250) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 54.9 rebounds/game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Jazz are 1-19 (.050) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .179

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors are 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 19-11 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

Injury Report: Warriors vs. JazzSunday‘s Game, Apr. 14

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 15.6 turnovers per game (1,265 turnovers/81 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (645 turnovers/81 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (1,290 points/81 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors had 20.2 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 20.1 fast break points per game (1,626 points/81 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Jazz averaged 6.1 steals per game (500 steals/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (644/1,550) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have averaged 6.3 steals per game (1,031 steals/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (562 steals/81 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,986 rebounds/81 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (694 blocks/163 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.