Kings vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 26-21 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 25-20 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+3.5 -110O 234.5 -110+135
Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 -110U 234.5 -110-160

Cavaliers vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Cavaliers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Cavaliers vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 42 away games (+15.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 away games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 away games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+18.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 80 games (+17.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 26-21 (+2.75 Units / 5.17% ROI).

  • 29-19 against the Moneyline (-8.8 Units / -8.47% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.44% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 25-20 (+3.15 Units / 6.12% ROI).

  • 31-16 against the Moneyline (+14.8 Units / 15.73% ROI)
  • 21-25 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.56% ROI)
  • 25-21 against the Under for game total points (+1.95 Units / 3.78% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 41 games at home (-16.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 59 games (-15.50 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 59 games (-13.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 67 games (-27.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-18.60 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 25 away games (-15.20 Units / -54% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are 53-8 (.869) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .748

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Kings are 39-6 (.867) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .710

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 13-2 (.867) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Cavaliers were 37-26 (.587) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Cavaliers were 17-10 (.630) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. KingsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Darius Garland (Cleveland Cavaliers): Jaw, Game Time Decision
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (780/1,067) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 54.3 points per game (4,449 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 8.8 fast break points per game (414 points/47 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (731 points/47 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (190 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 4.7 fast break points per game (610 points/130 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.6

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (215 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Cavaliers allowed 21.8 points in the paint per game (1,784 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 24.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.