Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -8.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 24-19 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 21-25 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-10.5 -105O 223.5 -110-500
Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 -115U 223.5 -110+360

Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 77.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Grizzlies, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Grizzlies vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 38 away games (+15.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+19.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+17.15 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+15.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+12.65 Units / 126% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 24-19 (+2.95 Units / 6.05% ROI).

  • 26-18 against the Moneyline (-10.8 Units / -11.35% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.61% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 21-25 (-6.55 Units / -12.92% ROI).

  • 18-28 against the Moneyline (+4.75 Units / 8.58% ROI)
  • 19-27 against the Over for game total points (-10.7 Units / -21.15% ROI)
  • 27-19 against the Under for game total points (+6.1 Units / 12.06% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 63 games (-29.80 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-21.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 84 games (-17.95 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-14.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 78 games (-13.65 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Kings are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .790

The Kings are 20-4 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Kings are 11-7 (.611) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-13) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .226

The Grizzlies are 6-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 3-11 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Kings have made 15.1 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. KingsMonday‘s Game, Jan. 29

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
  • Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out
  • Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (720/982) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings shot 51% (1,826/3,601) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (765/1,774) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 34% from three (623/1,804) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (182 blocks/44 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings have allowed 6.0 second chance points per game (263 points/44 games) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings allowed opponents to shoot 51% (1,841/3,646) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (762 blocks/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies have blocked 289 shots this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,340/7,365) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.