Kings vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | SPEC

The Sacramento Kings visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Lakers Over/Under is 239.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 30-29 against the spread, while the Lakers are 29-35 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+2.5 -115O 239.5 -110+115
Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -105U 239.5 -110-140

Lakers vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Lakers.

Lakers vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 32 away games (+15.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 46 away games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 away games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+21.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 48 games at home (+15.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 30-29 (-2 Units / -3.01% ROI).

  • 34-26 against the Moneyline (-18.05 Units / -13.8% ROI)
  • 30-28 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.21% ROI)
  • 28-30 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -7.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 29-35 (-9.55 Units / -13.56% ROI).

  • 35-29 against the Moneyline (+8.5 Units / 6.83% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.35 Units / -9.01% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-30.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games (-20.85 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 47 games (-19.50 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-17.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 79 games (-37.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 32 away games (-18.75 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-16.35 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-15.40 Units / -19% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 28-9 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Kings are 8-2 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Kings are undefeated (9-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Lakers are 5-21 (.192) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Injury Report: Lakers vs. KingsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 6

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (483 points/27 games) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (360/858) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (426 steals/54 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.