- The Kings are -2.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Watch the game on BSSW | NSCA
The Sacramento Kings visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Kings vs Mavericks Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 23-19 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 24-21 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Sacramento Kings | -4.5 -110 | O 243.5 -110 | -185 |
Dallas Mavericks | +4.5 -110 | U 243.5 -110 | +150 |
Mavericks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.
Mavericks vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+14.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 23-19 (+1.95 Units / 4.09% ROI).
- 25-18 against the Moneyline (-11.8 Units / -12.63% ROI)
- 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)
- 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-21 (+0.95 Units / 1.92% ROI).
- 25-20 against the Moneyline (-1.7 Units / -2.07% ROI)
- 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.03% ROI)
- 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -12.75% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (-35.30 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.50 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 39 games at home (-21.30 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.15 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-20.35 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (-30.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-19.25 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 77 games (-14.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.50 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Kings are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791
The Kings were 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
The Kings were 28-9 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634
The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Mavericks are 21-6 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 14-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .742
The Mavericks are undefeated (14-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .778
Injury Report: Mavericks vs. Kings – Saturday‘s Game, Jan. 27
- Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
- Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
- Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
- Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
- Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9
The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (130 assists/ 45 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (756 turnovers/127 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks have averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (5,594 points/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have allowed 4.6 fast break points per game (575 points/125 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.6
The Kings averaged 7.0 steals per game (574 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (299 steals/43 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,528 rebounds/45 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Mavericks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (810 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (296 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
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