Kings vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Kings are -2.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Mavericks Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 23-19 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 24-21 against the spread.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM


Kings vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings-4.5 -110O 243.5 -110-185
Dallas Mavericks +4.5 -110U 243.5 -110+150

Mavericks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+14.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 23-19 (+1.95 Units / 4.09% ROI).

  • 25-18 against the Moneyline (-11.8 Units / -12.63% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-21 (+0.95 Units / 1.92% ROI).

  • 25-20 against the Moneyline (-1.7 Units / -2.07% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.03% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -12.75% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 70 games (-35.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 39 games at home (-21.30 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-20.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (-30.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-19.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 77 games (-14.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.50 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Kings are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791

The Kings were 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Kings were 28-9 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Mavericks are 21-6 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are 14-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .742

The Mavericks are undefeated (14-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .778

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. KingsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 27

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (130 assists/ 45 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (756 turnovers/127 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks have averaged 44.0 points in the paint per game (5,594 points/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 4.6 fast break points per game (575 points/125 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.6

The Kings averaged 7.0 steals per game (574 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Kings have averaged 7.0 steals per game (299 steals/43 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,528 rebounds/45 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (810 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (296 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Mavericks vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.