Kings vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOK | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 40-37 against the spread, while the Thunder are 42-35 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+5.5 -115O 227.5 -115+170
Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 -105U 227.5 -105-210

Thunder vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Thunder.

Thunder vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 42 away games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games at home (+20.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 28 games at home (+17.30 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 40-37 (-0.65 Units / -0.76% ROI).

  • 45-33 against the Moneyline (-21.8 Units / -11.61% ROI)
  • 35-41 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -11.77% ROI)
  • 41-35 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 2.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 42-35 (+3.5 Units / 4.08% ROI).

  • 53-25 against the Moneyline (+12.35 Units / 5.11% ROI)
  • 42-32 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 7.92% ROI)
  • 32-42 against the Under for game total points (-14.1 Units / -16.45% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-17.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-15.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 54 games (-14.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 81 games (-14.20 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (-27.15 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 39 away games (-21.30 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 68 games (-18.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 70 games (-14.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 44 away games (-14.70 Units / -30% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 12-7 (.632) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Kings were 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Thunder are 32-5 (.865) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 36-4 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder were 18-26 (.409) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Thunder vs. KingsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,058 assists/ 548 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (527/1,312) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder have averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,067 rebounds/78 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 10.8 second chance points per game (844 points/78 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (532 rebounds/38 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.3

The Kings have allowed 11.0 second chance points per game (418 points/38 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (513 blocks/78 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have blocked 513 shots this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder forced 16.8 turnovers per game (1,375 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.