Kings vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 28, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors (44-38) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Kings (48-34)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Friday, April 28, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Sacramento Kings visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Kings vs Warriors Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 48-39 against the spread, while the Warriors are 41-45 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Sacramento Kings +7.5 -110 O 236.5 -110 +260
Golden State Warriors -7.5 -110 U 236.5 -110 -350

Warriors vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 66.5% confidence.

Warriors vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kings and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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    • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.21 Units / 20% ROI)
    • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
    • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.47 Units / 15% ROI)
    • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
    • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 away games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)

     

         

        • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
        • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 92 games (+15.15 Units / 15% ROI)
        • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.36 Units / 33% ROI)
        • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games at home (+13.95 Units / 22% ROI)
        • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)

         

          Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 48-39 (+5.1 Units / 5.33% ROI).

          • 50-37 against the Moneyline (-11.25 Units / -6.17% ROI)
          • 43-43 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.49% ROI)
          • 43-43 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -4.49% ROI)

          Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 41-45 (-8.5 Units / -8.88% ROI).

          • 47-40 against the Moneyline (-23.45 Units / -10.36% ROI)
          • 47-38 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 5.43% ROI)
          • 38-47 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -14.32% ROI)

             

            • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 34 games (-27.70 Units / -51% ROI)
            • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 92 games (-27.20 Units / -26% ROI)
            • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 81 games (-25.62 Units / -22% ROI)
            • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 94 games (-22.86 Units / -16% ROI)
            • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 96 games (-20.91 Units / -18% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 87 games (-25.35 Units / -21% ROI)
                • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.77 Units / -31% ROI)
                • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.54 Units / -26% ROI)
                • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (-20.10 Units / -34% ROI)
                • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 42 away games (-14.70 Units / -32% ROI)

                 

                  Jump to:

                  Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

                  The Kings are 4-38 (.095) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227

                  The Kings are 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

                  The Kings are 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

                  The Kings are 46-18 (.719) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

                  Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

                  The Golden State Warriors are 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.

                  The Golden State Warriors are 63-23 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 50.5 rebounds per game (8,275 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

                  The Warriors are 36-21 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

                  The Warriors are 2-22 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166

                  Injury Report: Warriors vs. KingsFriday‘s Game, Apr. 28

                     

                    • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
                    • Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): Baldwin Jr. is Doubtful for Friday’s (Apr.28) game against Sacramento.
                    • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

                     

                         

                        • Matthew Dellavedova (Kings): Dellavedova underwent surgery and is without a timetable to return.

                         

                          Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

                          The Kings have averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

                          The Kings have averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

                          The Kings have averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

                          The Kings have averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

                          Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

                          The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

                          The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

                          The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

                          The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

                          Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

                          The Kings have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

                          The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (1,002 blocks/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

                          The Kings have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,705 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

                          The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (644 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

                          Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

                          The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

                          The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,888 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

                          The Warriors have 1,888 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams

                          The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,100 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7


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                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.