Knicks vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on MSG | FDWI

The New York Knicks visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Knicks vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 32-38 against the spread, while the Bucks are 36-35 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Bucks.

Bucks vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.3% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 95 games (+14.81 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 95 games (+14.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 95 games (+10.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.89 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 32-38 (-9.8 Units / -12.37% ROI).

  • 45-27 against the Moneyline (-11.3 Units / -4.95% ROI)
  • 39-32 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 4.8% ROI)
  • 32-39 against the Under for game total points (-10.95 Units / -13.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 36-35 (-2.5 Units / -3.11% ROI).

  • 41-32 against the Moneyline (-13.3 Units / -7.87% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.47% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.62% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 89 games (-43.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-26.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (-20.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 89 games (-19.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.03 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-36.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 95 games (-33.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 95 games (-29.83 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 95 games (-27.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 95 games (-25.19 Units / -23% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Knicks are 27-9 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .590

The Knicks were 10-5 (.667) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Knicks were 14-3 (.824) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Knicks are 13-7 (.650) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Bucks are 23-10 (.697) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Knicks have averaged 51.0 rebounds/game this season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks are 32-27 (.542) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Bucks are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .252

The Bucks are 45-23 (.662) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (706 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Knicks have averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (949 turnovers/72 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Knicks averaged 15.9 second chance points per game (650 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Knicks averaged 24.4 assists per game (1,998 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (893 points/154 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (848 points/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Bucks have averaged 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,017 rebounds/72 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (315 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (282 blocks/72 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Knicks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,332 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (618 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,741 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (532 steals/72 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,706 rebounds/72 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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