Knicks vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | BSOH | MSG

The New York Knicks visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Knicks vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 209.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 30-28 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 29-28 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+5.5 -110O 209.5 -110+180
Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5 -110U 209.5 -110-225

Cavaliers vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 71 games (+20.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 34 games (+19.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+16.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games (+13.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 30-28 (-0.7 Units / -1.06% ROI).

  • 35-25 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 4.54% ROI)
  • 23-37 against the Over for game total points (-17.7 Units / -26.82% ROI)
  • 37-23 against the Under for game total points (+11.7 Units / 17.73% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 29-28 (-1.75 Units / -2.7% ROI).

  • 39-20 against the Moneyline (+11.4 Units / 8.26% ROI)
  • 26-32 against the Over for game total points (-9.2 Units / -14.16% ROI)
  • 32-26 against the Under for game total points (+3.45 Units / 5.32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 34 games (-21.90 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-18.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 25 games (-17.15 Units / -62% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 71 games (-26.65 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-21.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.45 Units / -19% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Knicks are winless (0-12) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254

The Knicks were 8-2 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Knicks are 24-14 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Knicks are 7-16 (.304) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Cavaliers were 28-16 (.636) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Cavaliers are 26-8 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .671

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. KnicksSunday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,136 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks averaged 22.4 assists per game (918 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Knicks have averaged 23.8 assists per game (1,286 assists/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (640 assists/ 379 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,045 assists/ 1,094 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers averaged 54.3 points per game (4,449 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (829 points/52 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,926 rebounds/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (213 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.