Knicks vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Knicks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Celtics
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The New York Knicks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Knicks vs Celtics Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 42-34 against the spread, while the Celtics are 40-35 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+1.5 -110O 217.5 -115+105
Boston Celtics -1.5 -110U 217.5 -105-125

Celtics vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Thursday‘s game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Celtics.

Celtics vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 56 of their last 90 games (+19.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+12.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 90 games (+10.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 82 games (+26.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 72 games (+25.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 27 games (+19.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 38 games at home (+17.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 60 games (+15.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 42-34 (+4.6 Units / 5.29% ROI).

  • 47-32 against the Moneyline (+9.7 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 34-45 against the Over for game total points (-15.5 Units / -17.84% ROI)
  • 45-34 against the Under for game total points (+7.6 Units / 8.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 40-35 (+1.5 Units / 1.73% ROI).

  • 62-17 against the Moneyline (+7.45 Units / 1.78% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.75 Units / -2.02% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 94 games (-37.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-22.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 99 games (-21.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 97 games (-21.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 99 games (-17.90 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-31.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-23.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-21.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 away games (-19.35 Units / -37% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Knicks are 44-29 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Knicks are 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791

The Knicks are 6-4 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Knicks were 8-2 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Celtics are 39-9 (.812) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Celtics are 33-8 (.805) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Celtics are 21-4 (.840) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .533

The Celtics are 34-1 (.971) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791

Injury Report: Celtics vs. KnicksThursday‘s Game, Apr. 11

  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported
  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 22.4 assists per game (918 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,347 points/161 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks shot 47% (3,444/7,328) last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Knicks have averaged 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,494 rebounds/79 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Celtics have made 15.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,115 steals/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (323 blocks/79 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,112 rebounds/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,619 points/7,237 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,000 rebounds/79 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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