Knicks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Kings are -3.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | MSG

The New York Knicks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Kings Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 33-30 against the spread, while the Kings are 33-31 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+3.5 -105O 217.5 -115+135
Sacramento Kings -3.5 -115U 217.5 -105-165

Kings vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 65.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Kings.

Kings vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 41 games (+22.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+21.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 33-30 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 39-27 against the Moneyline (+7.45 Units / 4.95% ROI)
  • 24-42 against the Over for game total points (-22.2 Units / -30.58% ROI)
  • 42-24 against the Under for game total points (+15.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 33-31 (-1.05 Units / -1.47% ROI).

  • 38-27 against the Moneyline (-17.4 Units / -12.05% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.94% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -5.87% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games at home (-39.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 84 games (-20.85 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 41 games at home (-16.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 83 games (-13.10 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 77 games (-31.80 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-28.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-26.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 31 games (-21.20 Units / -58% ROI)

Jump to:

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Knicks are winless (0-12) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254

The Knicks were 8-2 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Knicks are 10-3 (.769) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Knicks were 36-29 (.554) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Kings are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Kings were 28-9 (.757) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .634

The Kings were 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

Injury Report: Kings vs. KnicksSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,136 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 23.8 assists per game (1,286 assists/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Knicks averaged 18.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,549 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Knicks have averaged 16.3 second chance points per game (2,215 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (827/1,132) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (213 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (478 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.