Knicks vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Knicks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | MSG

The New York Knicks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Knicks vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 20-15 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 21-17 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Thursday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Knicks and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.2% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 74 games (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 away games (+13.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+12.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+13.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 20-15 (+3.55 Units / 8.75% ROI).

  • 22-15 against the Moneyline (+5.75 Units / 7.37% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 21-17 (+2.35 Units / 5.63% ROI).

  • 22-16 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -1.08% ROI)
  • 21-16 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.11% ROI)
  • 16-21 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -16.79% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (-34.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 77 games (-24.10 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 77 games (-23.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-19.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 37 games at home (-17.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 89 games (-29.20 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-26.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games (-16.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 44 away games (-13.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (-13.00 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Knicks are 9-2 (.818) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Knicks were 8-2 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Knicks are 3-9 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have made 15.1 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Knicks were 18-9 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Mavericks are 9-3 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .623

The Mavericks were 13-17 (.433) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks are 18-4 (.818) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .734

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. KnicksThursday‘s Game, Jan. 11

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Evan Fournier (New York Knicks): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • DaQuan Jeffries (New York Knicks): Illness, Game Time Decision

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,005 points/119 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Knicks have averaged 24.0 assists per game (889 assists/37 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5

The Knicks have averaged 17.0 second chance points per game (630 points/37 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Knicks averaged 8.3 second chance points per game (677 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (714 turnovers/120 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (644 points/120 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks have averaged 42.4 points in the paint per game (2,546 points/60 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.1

The Mavericks made 15.2 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (130 blocks/37 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (807 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (265 steals/38 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,311 rebounds/38 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.