Knicks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Knicks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 205.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | MSG

The New York Knicks visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Knicks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 203.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 33-30 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 31-34 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks-11.5 -110O 203.5 -105-650
Portland Trail Blazers +11.5 -110U 203.5 -115+450

Trail Blazers vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Thursday‘s game with 89.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 40 games (+21.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games (+20.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 38 away games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 33-30 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 38-27 against the Moneyline (+6.45 Units / 4.47% ROI)
  • 24-41 against the Over for game total points (-21.1 Units / -29.51% ROI)
  • 41-24 against the Under for game total points (+14.6 Units / 20.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 31-34 (-6.4 Units / -8.95% ROI).

  • 19-46 against the Moneyline (-4.2 Units / -6.03% ROI)
  • 31-34 against the Over for game total points (-6.4 Units / -8.94% ROI)
  • 34-31 against the Under for game total points (-0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 64 games (-23.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-22.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 66 games (-20.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 55 games (-18.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 42 games at home (-17.55 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 76 games (-30.65 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-27.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-20.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 30 games (-20.05 Units / -57% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Knicks are 10-3 (.769) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Knicks are winless (0-12) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254

The Knicks were 9-1 (.900) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Knicks are 21-8 (.724) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Trail Blazers were 5-14 (.263) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Trail Blazers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. KnicksThursday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,136 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (640 assists/ 379 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Knicks have averaged 16.3 second chance points per game (2,215 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Knicks averaged 12.8 fast break points per game (1,050 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (984/2,254) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (2,049/4,650) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,477 assists/ 964 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (213 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Knicks have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,926 rebounds/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (921 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (405 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.