Knicks vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NSBA | MSG

The New York Knicks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Warriors Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 34-30 against the spread, while the Warriors are 36-29 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+6.5 -105O 211.5 -115+200
Golden State Warriors -6.5 -115U 211.5 -105-250

Warriors vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Warriors.

Warriors vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 63.1% confidence.


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  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 42 games (+23.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 51 of their last 78 games (+22.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 78 games (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 34-30 (+1 Units / 1.36% ROI).

  • 40-27 against the Moneyline (+8.7 Units / 5.74% ROI)
  • 24-43 against the Over for game total points (-23.3 Units / -31.61% ROI)
  • 43-24 against the Under for game total points (+16.6 Units / 22.52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-29 (+4.1 Units / 5.65% ROI).

  • 35-31 against the Moneyline (-10.45 Units / -7.79% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-20.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 45 games at home (-19.10 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (-16.40 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games at home (-14.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 78 games (-32.95 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 80 games (-29.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-27.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 32 games (-22.35 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-20.25 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Knicks are 10-3 (.769) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Knicks were 8-2 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Knicks are 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Knicks were 36-29 (.554) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Warriors are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Warriors vs. KnicksMonday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 23.8 assists per game (1,286 assists/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,136 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 16.8 second chance points per game (1,143 points/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Knicks have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (459 points/54 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors had 20.2 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,926 rebounds/54 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (213 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Knicks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (445 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (254 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (534 blocks/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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