Lakers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -8.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Lakers vs Bucks Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 33-39 against the spread, while the Bucks are 32-38 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+9.5 -105O 232.5 -110+340
Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 -115U 232.5 -110-450

Bucks vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 81.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 91 games (+22.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 away games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+15.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 away games (+15.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games at home (+13.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 33-39 (-9.9 Units / -12.5% ROI).

  • 40-32 against the Moneyline (+9.3 Units / 6.6% ROI)
  • 39-32 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 4.8% ROI)
  • 32-39 against the Under for game total points (-10.85 Units / -13.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 32-38 (-9.8 Units / -12.56% ROI).

  • 46-25 against the Moneyline (-9.05 Units / -3.64% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 78 games (-26.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 43 games at home (-20.80 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-20.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 83 games (-16.05 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 91 games (-35.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-23.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 92 games (-22.15 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 92 games (-21.05 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Lakers are 15-1 (.938) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .824

The Lakers are 6-2 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks are 26-7 (.788) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. LakersTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 26

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (335 points/32 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (335 points/71 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 55.8 points in the paint per game (3,962 points/71 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.52 points per shot (1,196 points/789 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 120.6 points per game (8,560 points/71 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,621 rebounds/71 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (396 blocks/71 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,883 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.