Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -15.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 38-43 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 39-41 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers-15.5 -105O 225.5 -105-1200
Memphis Grizzlies +15.5 -115U 225.5 -115+750

Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 99.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 97 games (+21.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+20.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+16.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 86 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 42 games at home (+16.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 55 games (+15.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 38-43 (-9.3 Units / -10.44% ROI).

  • 46-35 against the Moneyline (+14.65 Units / 8.68% ROI)
  • 45-35 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 7.29% ROI)
  • 35-45 against the Under for game total points (-14.45 Units / -16.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 39-41 (-6.1 Units / -6.93% ROI).

  • 27-53 against the Moneyline (+2.8 Units / 3.08% ROI)
  • 36-44 against the Over for game total points (-12.4 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • 44-36 against the Under for game total points (+4.4 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-28.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.95 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 42 games at home (-22.85 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 97 games (-35.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 79 games (-26.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-23.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 65 games (-19.95 Units / -28% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Lakers were 17-26 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Lakers are winless (0-7) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

The Lakers were 20-11 (.645) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Lakers are 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-worst in the NBA. The Lakers have shot 38% from three this season — 8th-best in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are winless (0-19) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .144

The Grizzlies were 1-8 (.111) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. LakersFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (374 points/80 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 29.9 points in the paint per game (2,392 points/80 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (3,057/7,035) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 51% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,093 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,977 rebounds/80 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have forced 16.1 turnovers per game (626 turnovers/39 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.1 steals per game (650 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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