Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

  • The Lakers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Lakers vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 34-39 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 35-37 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers-4.5 -110O 223.5 -110-190
Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 -110U 223.5 -110+155

Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 60.3% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 92 games (+23.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+18.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 46 away games (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 80 games (+20.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games at home (+18.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 34-39 (-8.9 Units / -11.08% ROI).

  • 41-32 against the Moneyline (+12.65 Units / 8.92% ROI)
  • 40-32 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 5.97% ROI)
  • 32-40 against the Under for game total points (-11.95 Units / -14.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-37 (-5.7 Units / -7.2% ROI).

  • 24-48 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -0.6% ROI)
  • 34-38 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -9.85% ROI)
  • 38-34 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.76% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-31.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 42 games at home (-24.85 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-24.15 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-23.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-16.80 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 92 games (-36.45 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 93 games (-23.15 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-22.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 93 games (-22.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Lakers are 4-11 (.267) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .402

The Lakers are 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .824

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers are 22-47 (.319) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 2-23 (.080) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Grizzlies are 2-23 (.080) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — worst in the NBA. The Lakers have shot 38% from three this season — T-7th-best in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 7-37 (.159) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .342

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. LakersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.8 second chance points per game (343 points/72 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers have averaged 10.4 second chance points per game (752 points/72 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers have averaged 55.7 points in the paint per game (4,012 points/72 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.4

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,789 assists/ 1,088 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 105.9 points per game (7,624 points/72 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.5

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,747/6,305) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/72 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,792 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (404 blocks/72 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,451 rebounds/72 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (919 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,011 points/843 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.33


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