Lakers vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | NSCA | SPEC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Lakers vs Kings Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 31-36 against the spread, while the Kings are 32-31 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers-3.5 -105O 238.5 -110-155
Sacramento Kings +3.5 -115U 238.5 -110+125

Kings vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Kings.

Kings vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 86 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 away games (+17.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 41 away games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 away games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 31-36 (-8.6 Units / -11.67% ROI).

  • 37-30 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 6.87% ROI)
  • 36-30 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI)
  • 30-36 against the Under for game total points (-9.55 Units / -12.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 32-31 (-2.05 Units / -2.91% ROI).

  • 37-27 against the Moneyline (-18.55 Units / -12.93% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.42% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.39% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games at home (-40.35 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 86 games (-21.00 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 41 games at home (-16.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 82 games (-14.10 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-33.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-23.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 41 away games (-21.75 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 87 games (-21.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.70 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Lakers are 11-1 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Lakers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Kings are 24-4 (.857) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Kings were 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Kings are 22-9 (.710) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed 14.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Kings were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Kings vs. LakersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 10.1 second chance points per game (272 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings are shooting 73% from the free throw line (827/1,132) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (426 steals/54 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 11.7 second chance points per game (607 points/52 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.